Kosrae's Coast

Seasonal forecasts (for next few months) for sea levels and rainfall for Kosrae produced by the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre (PEAC) suggest that:

• Sea-level in the region around Kosrae will tend to be around 4 inches higher than normal for the period December, January and February. This means all tide levels will be pushed up by 4 inches.
• The next three months will see some very high tides experienced on Kosrae. The normally high tides experienced at this time of year will be pushed even higher by about 4 inches due to the higher sea-level anomaly. The largest ides will occur between Monday 2^nd to Thursday 5^th December, Tuesday 31^st December to Saturday 4^th January, around Friday 17^th January, from Wednesday 29 January to Sunday 02 February, and from the 28^th February.
• Kosrae has experienced only about two-thirds of the rainfall it normally experiences over the last few months. For the next three months, rainfall should return to near normal levels or may be slightly wetter than normal.
• No adverse tropical typhoon activity is expected to directly impact Kosrae over the next three months. However, there has been an increase in tropical typhoon activity in the Western North Pacific recently (including Typhoon Haiyan one of the strongest typhoons ever experienced which impacted Yap and Palau and devastated the Philippines). If this activity continues Kosrae could experience some effects such as high swell waves if a cyclone were to form to the north or north-west.

Further information is available from the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.

The tide calendars for June, July and and August (tide prediction + seasonal sea-level forecast), are now available in both English and Kosraean. These can be downloaded below:

English:  December-2013 |  January 2014 |  February-2014

Kosraean:  Tisampuh-2013  |  Janwuri-2014  |  Febwuri-2014

The three month seasonal forecast of highest daily tides and dates of extremely high tides is only available in English:  Dec-2013-Feb-2014-Seasonal

Copies of the tide calendars can also be obtained from the KIRMA office in Tofol.

In addition to the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre, forecasts of sea level variability over the coming months are also available as an interactive map from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The figure below shows the sea level anomaly over the December to February period (relative to the 1981-2010 average) over the western Pacific. Over the next 3 months, this suggests a sea-level anomaly in the region around Kosrae of between 5 cm to 10 cm (2-4 inches) above the 1981-2010 average (which is a little lower than the PEAC estimate).

Seasonal forecasts (for next few months) for sea levels and rainfall for Kosrae produced by the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre suggest that:

• Sea-level in the region around Kosrae will tend to be around 3 inches higher than normal for the period September, October and November. This means all tide levels will be pushed up by 3 inches.
• For the next several months, weak easterly winds should dominate in Kosrae. Areas of disturbed weather should episodically affect Kosrae during the remainder of the year, with monthly rainfall totals running near average.
• No adverse tropical cyclone activity is expected for Kosrae during the remaining months of 2013. Any development should be well north of the island.

Further information is available from the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.

The tide calendars for June, July and and August (tide prediction + seasonal sea-level forecast), are now available in both English and Kosraean. These can be downloaded below:

English:  Sept-2013 |  Oct-2013  |  Nov-2013

Kosraean:  Septembu-2013  |  Oktoba-2013  |  Nofombu-2013

The three month seasonal forecast of highest daily tides and dates of extremely high tides is only available in English:  Sept-Nov-Seasonal-2013

High tide levels are likely to be more modest in September and October with the highest tide levels  and hence greater possibility of coastal flooding, particularly if large waves occur over the same period) likely to occur between the 03 – 06 November and 18 – 19 November.

Copies of the tide calendars can also be obtained from the KIRMA office in Tofol.

Seasonal forecasts (for next few months) for sea levels and rainfall for Kosrae produced by the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre suggest that:

• Sea-level in the region around Kosrae will tend to be around 3 inches higher than normal for the period June, July and August. This means all tide levels will be pushed up by 3 inches.
• Rainfall is expected to be near average for the June to August period. Near average rainfall is also expected for the remainder of the year.

Further information is available from the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.

The tide calendars for June, July and and August (tide prediction + seasonal sea-level forecast), are now available in both English and Kosraean. These can be downloaded below:

English:  June-2013  |  July-2013  |  August-2013

Kosraean:  Jun-2013  |  Julae-2013  |  Okos-2013

The three month seasonal forecast of highest daily tides and dates of extremely high tides is only available in English:  Seasonal-June-July-2013

The highest tide levels over the next three months (and hence greater possibility of coastal flooding, particularly if large waves occur over the same period) are likely to occur between the 22 – 26 June and 22-25 July.

Copies of the tide calendars can also be obtained from the KIRMA office in Tofol.

Seasonal forecasts (for next few months) for sea levels and rainfall for Kosrae produced by the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre suggest that:

• Sea-level in the region around Kosrae will tend to be around 3-4 inches higher than normal for the period March, April and May. This means all tide levels will be pushed up 3-4 inches.
• Rainfall is expected to be slightly higher than average (110%) for the April to June period. Beyond that, for the rest of the year, rainfall amounts are forecast to be around normal.

Further information is available from the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.

The english versions of the tide calendars for March and April (tide prediction + seasonal sea-level forecast), and the seasonal daily high tide forecasts for the next three months can be downloaded from here:

Kosrae-March-2013

Kosrae-April-2013

Kosrae-May-2013

Kosrae-Seasonal

The highest tide levels over the next two months (and hence greater possibility of coastal flooding, particularly if large waves occur over the same period) are likely to occur between the 10 – 13 and 27 – 30 March, between 26 – 29 April and the 24 – 28 May.

The revised Kosraean versions of the tide calendars are still being translated and will be uploaded shortly.