Seasonal forecasts (for next few months) for sea levels and rainfall for Kosrae produced by the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre (PEAC) suggest that:
- Sea-level in the region around Kosrae will tend to be around 3 inches higher than normal for the period March to May. This means all tide levels will be pushed up by 3 inches.
- The high tide levels that were experienced in December, January and February will ease somewhat. The highest tides during the three month period will occur between the 1-3 March and around 16-17 May.
- For the next three months, rainfall is expected to be near normal levels for the time of year.
Further information is available from the Pacific ENSO Update newsletter.
The tide calendars for March, April and May (tide prediction + seasonal sea-level forecast), are now available in both English and Kosraean. These can be downloaded below:
English: March-2014 | April-2014 | May-2014
Kosraean: Marj-2014 | Eprel-2014 | Mei-2014
The three month seasonal forecast of highest daily tides and dates of extremely high tides is only available in English: Mar-May-2014
Copies of the tide calendars can also be obtained from either the KIRMA office or PACC office in Tofol.
In addition to the Pacific ENSO Applications Centre, forecasts of sea level variability over the coming months are also available as an interactive map from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The figure below shows the sea level anomaly over the March to May period (relative to the 1981-2010 average) over the western Pacific. Over the next 3 months, this suggests a sea-level anomaly in the region around Kosrae of between 5 cm to 10 cm (2-4 inches) above the 1981-2010 average.
